Monthly Observations Election Certainty Provides Catalyst for US Market Surge The month began with a resounding victory for former President Donald Trump, eliminating any concern over protracted fighting over election results. In addition, Republicans gained…
That pesky thing known as the Federal Reserve dashed some cold water on the Trump rally last week, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that they were in no hurry to cut rates further and…
Tim Side, CFA – Investment Strategist Déjà vu? One week out from the election results and there is an oddly familiar feeling as markets are reacting in a very similar fashion to 2016. Republicans are…
Monthly Observations Final Quarter Starts on a Weak Footing Third quarter upward momentum in risk markets carried through for most of October with US large cap equity markets grinding out further record highs to start…
We sit here on Wednesday, November 6th, with one of the most expensive and dramatic Presidential campaigns behind us. Before we run through the data, results, reaction and implications for the markets, let’s savor a…
What a quarter. The last three months were filled with historic events, including an incumbent dropping out of the presidential race for the first time in nearly 60 years, two failed assassination attempts on a…
Monthly Observations Returns Buck the Trend for September Long-term seasonality suggests weaker returns in September and early signs indicated last month would be no different; a sharp drop in risk assets started the month following…
Nine times!? Nine times. Barron’s ranked Moneta No. 8 on its list of the “2024 Top 100 RIA Firms,” marking the ninth time in nine years that Moneta received the honor of being included among…
“Go Big or Go Home” The Fed decided to go big this month by cutting rates by 50 basis points – fulfilling the expectations of the betting market but defying those of most pundits who…
Monthly Observations Early Carnage Followed by Sharp Recovery Multiple catalysts triggered sharp risk-off moves in the equity markets to start August. Weaker than expected payroll readings, a slowing manufacturing sector, and AI/technology earnings concerns prompted…
Chris Kamykowski, CFA, CFP® – Head of Investment Strategy and ResearchTim Side, CFA – Investment Strategist “I fear no man. But that thing, it scares me.”[1] Ever since the compromise between Alexander Hamilton, Thomas Jefferson…
Aoifinn Devitt – Chief Global Market Strategist In recent weeks the Land of the Rising Sun became the Land of the Rising Yen, and then the catalyst for a roller coaster swoon in markets followed…
Monthly Observations Sharp Rotation in Market Leadership 2024 market laggards for the year were the winners in July as a wave of risk-on sentiment rewarded those left behind by large cap growth. The catalyst came…
Chris Kamykowski, CFA, CFP® – Head of Investment Strategy and ResearchTim Side, CFA – Investment Strategist For those who believe in diversification, it has been a painful decade+ of relative returns between small cap and…
Aoifinn Devitt – Chief Global Market Strategist An alternative title of this blog was “All changed, changed utterly.”, to paraphrase the poet W B Yeats. Using that quip seemed too easy, however. In my many…
Markets cruised through the halfway point of 2024 and as we take stock of the year-to-date numbers, we find ourselves with the S&P 500 up 15.3%, the Nasdaq Composite Index up 18.6%, and the Dow…
Tim Side, CFA, Research Analyst Executive Summary Since 2005, the U.S. has seen productivity growth persistently below long-term historical averages. Using the 1990’s as a proxy, there is potential for generative artificial intelligence to boost…
By Aoifinn Devitt, CFP® – Chief Investment Officer On this day, June 21st, the longest day of the year in the Northern hemisphere, it is normal to think about cycles. The cycle from light into dark, the…